+++ FLASH +++ MING 53% v HUHNE 47% +++ POLL OF POLLS ANALYSIS +++
12
comments:
Anonymous
said...
useless at the moment, where is hughes?
March 1, 2006 at 4:40 PM
Anonymous
said...
anonymous - you do realise the LDs apply a STV system, right? As such if Hughes is 3rd after round 1, he doesn't appear in the final count, and all his votes are redistributed according to their 2nd pref?
Proof positive, however, why we should stick to FPTP....
About right. Other sources are saying first preference votes went about 36pc Ming, 35pc Huhne and 29pc Hughes, with Hughes' second preferences splitting about 60-40 for Ming. This would give us exactly the figures you quote.
Looks like a PA tickertape - how do you get the green eyeshade over your hat?
March 1, 2006 at 5:15 PM
Anonymous
said...
Mr Eugenides said... Can't you make the word "flash" flash, Guido? Now that would inject some real urgency...
Depends on your browser. If Guido were to use the old-fashioned < blink > and < /blink > tags, some of us would be lucky and see it; others, with more imperious web-reading programs, would be spared the fun.
ERS has an inpeccable record. At this stage none knows whats happened. all you have is collection of polls, canvas returns and gossip some informed others not.
Thats not to say a 53/47 final split sounds implausible merely that we don't know. I do note however that betfair is shifting heavily to Ming.
March 1, 2006 at 6:09 PM
Anonymous
said...
alan connor please don't leave malformed xml on this side again. how can you close a nerd tag when you haven't opened one.
I'm bored of it all now, and we still have another one to go. How much am I looking forward to watching Brown, Milburn and Miliband touring the country?
March 1, 2006 at 9:46 PM
Anonymous
said...
It is going to be very close. In broad terms if every lib dem voted and used their second pref. then in a party of 73,000 members the margin of victory will be about 4,380. That is roughly the number of voters in a district council seat. Hardly a thumping mandate.
I think Ming isn't as sharp as he was even two years ago, and I don't think he could restore any gloss to the party.
12 comments:
useless at the moment, where is hughes?
anonymous - you do realise the LDs apply a STV system, right? As such if Hughes is 3rd after round 1, he doesn't appear in the final count, and all his votes are redistributed according to their 2nd pref?
Proof positive, however, why we should stick to FPTP....
Don't you love the way that putting all those << >> and ++ ++ sybols makes it look like it's hot off the vidiprinter?
Can't you make the word "flash" flash, Guido? Now that would inject some real urgency...
About right. Other sources are saying first preference votes went about 36pc Ming, 35pc Huhne and 29pc Hughes, with Hughes' second preferences splitting about 60-40 for Ming. This would give us exactly the figures you quote.
Which would be useful if we had any idea who they are or whether they're real...
Looks like a PA tickertape - how do you get the green eyeshade over your hat?
Mr Eugenides said...
Can't you make the word "flash" flash, Guido? Now that would inject some real urgency...
Depends on your browser. If Guido were to use the old-fashioned < blink > and < /blink > tags, some of us would be lucky and see it; others, with more imperious web-reading programs, would be spared the fun.
< /nerd >
ERS has an inpeccable record. At this stage none knows whats happened. all you have is collection of polls, canvas returns and gossip some informed others not.
Thats not to say a 53/47 final split sounds implausible merely that we don't know. I do note however that betfair is shifting heavily to Ming.
alan connor please don't leave malformed xml on this side again. how can you close a nerd tag when you haven't opened one.
I'm bored of it all now, and we still have another one to go.
How much am I looking forward to watching Brown, Milburn and Miliband touring the country?
It is going to be very close. In broad terms if every lib dem voted and used their second pref. then in a party of 73,000 members the margin of victory will be about 4,380. That is roughly the number of voters in a district council seat. Hardly a thumping mandate.
I think Ming isn't as sharp as he was even two years ago, and I don't think he could restore any gloss to the party.
Have a gut feeling your figures are pretty close to the mark G